Wednesday, December 5, 2007

Forex Day Trading – a 100% Way to lose ALL Your Money Quickly

Having been a forex trader for 25 years it amuses me when I see writers defend day trading. They say it really can make money! - Of course they have no track record to back it up just empty words. Fact is you are guaranteed to lose in day trading for one simple reason:

All Movements in Short Time Frames Are Random

Trillions of dollars trade hands each day and million of trader’s trade, all with different objectives and opinions and to say that you can predict what they do in a few hours or a day, is ridiculous. You can’t.

Volatility takes prices anywhere in a day and support and resistance levels are meaningless, so you would have the same success rate flipping a coin.

It’s absolutely impossible to get the odds on your side – PERIOD

This is of course why you NEVER see any of the vendors selling these systems give you a real time track record – Why?

Because they don’t dare trade it!

They would rather write some enticing copy and appeal to the greed and naivety of traders and make their money selling you the system – they win you lose – period.

But I have seen a track record you may say and yes will have, but it’s NOT real.

If you check the disclaimer on it you will see there all hypothetical!

What does that mean?

It means done in hindsight knowing the closing prices!

Now who can’t do that it’s not exactly hard.

If we all knew tomorrows price today we would all be millionaires but we don’t – and neither do we know what will happen tomorrow, so there not worth the paper their written on.

Day trading is a good story but the logic doesn’t add up and the biggest lie about day trading is you can make money at it longer term.

If you could you would see a track record or the vendor would shut up and trade it himself and not need your few hundred dollars.

If you want to win

Appreciate that trading is an odds game and to trade the odds you need to trade over longer periods ,where the data is valid and you can have a chance of getting the odds on your side.

Finally

Don’t day trade, get real and trade with the odds on your side.

Forex Day Trading – a 100% Way to lose ALL Your Money Quickly

Through the method of Forex trading the dealers can earn quick profits and with the changes in the economic conditions the investors get attractive opportunities to invest. Although there are no fixed guidelines for the Forex trading but the specialists have their own views and observations at the same time not deviating from the main objective. In simple terms it can be said with the method of Forex trading it regularizes the doubts and queries of the investors to invest more. Every entry is exclusively administrated with some set of guidelines which is only affected by any changes in the market.

It is no different from other methods of trading, as here also there are risks and rewards. The only thing that really matters is that how much capital you put at risk to receive significant rewards. Before investing you should also make a survey of the prices prevalent in the market, various market behaviors.

Experts are of the opinion that Forex trading is a combination of both science and art. It is an art because it includes a defined practice, set guidelines and theories. Having appropriate knowledge and with the assistance of the technology is very important for every individual life, as you have to take important decisions in your life.

Mechanical trading methods are a part of Forex trading and which assists you in making significant judgment. With the input of any data the system makes provides you with the suitable solution for it.

With the advancement of the technology the advanced computer editions of these mechanical methods are known as ‘black box’ processes. They are very smart that is the reason these are known as mechanical methods. With this just switch on your computer and it will revise all the trading suggestions and will straightaway make an order to the dealers.

Even a nanosecond matters a lot in the trading of five minute charts, so no doubt conducting fast operations is a must in the Forex trading. The base of the Forex trading relies on moving averages. The major and the most superior systems employ the mixture of the cost and the volume. Stochastic is put into use by the most efficient systems these are mathematical methods for non-linear science.

Forex trading systems are reactive in nature as under the changes in the market the system presumes that it will stay like this only. It takes these decisions through the systems that are planned in the system. There are Black Boxes that calculate a major collection of markers in accordance to increase the confidence of the action proposal.

In the stock market the dealers those who purchase and sell breakouts they are known as momentum players. Does that system will be successful or not or will produce a loss, the formulas of the investors think that this will be continue.

Forex Education – The 4 Major Mistakes That Cause 90% of Traders to Lose

If you want to trade Forex and win the odds are against you – 95% of traders lose and only 5% succeed. If you want to win at forex trading (and the rewards are huge) then don’t make these 4 trading mistakes.

If you make any of these mistakes you will never achieve long term profitability in forex trading.

1. Predicting Market Movement

This is the one major error almost all new forex traders make and it’s a critical one.

If you try and predict then you are simply hoping or guessing and the market will destroy your equity.

Hoping or guessing is not a way to make money in any business – forex trading included!

For example, traders spot a support level and think it will hold so they buy – what they should do is:

Wait for proof that the level will hold by looking for a change in price momentum that shows prices are moving back up – this is the proof.

Check out and start using momentum indicators in your trading.

2. Using Logic That Does Not Work

Trader’s very often use methods or systems which can never work.

Here are some examples:

Day trading

Is popular but you will NEVER win.

All short term volatility is random - therefore you can’t get the odds in your favour and lose.

The Appliance of Science

Many traders think markets move with scientific accuracy and use cycles or Fibonacci numbers – they don’t work and never will, yet traders still use them.

Obviously they can’t work:

If markets moved to a scientific formula, we could all work out the price in advance and there would be no market.

Two Many Inputs

Many traders try to be too clever and have systems with huge amounts of indicators.

After all, 12 indicators must be better than 2 or 3 – Wrong!

Too many indicators, simply means the system simply breaks in real time trading and are not as robust as simple systems.

The above are just a few examples and there are many more – look them up in our other articles.

3. Poor Money Management

Most novice traders are paranoid about losing - they place stops so close their guaranteed to get stopped out.

On the other hand, when they have a profit they get so excited, they bank it early by moving their stop too quickly!

If you want to make money you have to take meaningful risks to make big rewards.

To do this you must keep your stops outside of normal volatility - if you want to hang onto the big trends, that make the big profits.

4. Lack of Confidence and Discipline

The reason most traders lack this is because they try and buy success.

They think someone can give them success for a few hundred dollars and buy an e-book or system from a vendor.

When the system starts to lose, they have no confidence in it and throw in the towel.

An important vital part of your forex education is:

Only you can give yourself success.

Most systems sold on the net are junk if they were that good the vendor would trade them himself and not bother you for small amounts of money!

You need to build your own system and know how and why it makes profits, have confidence in it and this will give you the discipline to follow it through inevitable losses in the short term and hold on for long term profitability.

Forex Tips – 5 Simple Ones to Increase Your Profits

The forex tips below are all easy to do and all will help you achieve one aim increasing your overall profitability. So here are 5 forex tips for greater profits.

1. Use the Weekly Chart

I am amazed that most traders never bother looking at weekly charts but if you want to separate out “the wood from the trees” the weekly chart gives you a much clearer perspective.

The big trends are clearly visible on the weekly chart and if you are long term trend follower, start with this chart first and you will have a clearer view of support and resistance levels and entry points.

2. Cut Your Trading Frequency

This Forex tip addresses a major problem that most novice traders have – they trade too much.

They think they have to be in the market all the time and chase profits but the fact is, if you cut your trading frequency, you stand a better chance of success. Keep in mind; you only get paid for being right in forex trading - NOT for your effort and how often you trade!

By cutting your trading back, you can concentrate only on the high reward, high odds trades which give the best potential profits.I know traders who only trade a few times a year yet - they make between 120 – 430%! Annually.

Their simply trading the cream of the trades and ignoring the low odds, high risk ones and there are plenty of those.

If you cut your trading, you will probably see your profits soar.

3. Risk More Per Trade

This is directly related to the above point.

If you have a high odds trade take this tip and risk more.

You will read a lot of nonsense on the net about risking 2% per trade and no more.

Well, that’s fine if you are trading 100k but if you’re a small potato trader, trading 10k or less, that’s a maximum of $200!

If you have a small account you need to load up and risk 10 -20% on the high odds trades. Keep in mind if you don’t risk much you won’t make much!

To make meaningful gains you have to take risks – if you don’t like taking risks don’t trade forex.

4. Don’t Diversify

If you are trading a small account don’t diversify!

You need to load up as we have said above and concentrate on one trade only.

Diversification is simply another word for diluting profit potential and is something a small trader should not engage in.

5. Use an Account Profit Target

What s a realistic target to make per annum in forex trading?

You may have your own ideas - but if you made 100% that puts you up there with the best fund managers in the world.

You will often see people look at risk per trade but looking at your account overall and using a profit target is highly effective.

You will often see trades that give you big profits in short periods of time and if they are a substantial – i.e. more than 25% of your 100% bank them.

Have a break and start again.

If you hit your profit target for the year early - decide whether you should trade again at all or at the very least give yourself a deserved break.

The tips above are really saying:

Focus only on the best trades with the best odds, load them up and have a target -if you do the above, chances are you will make bigger profits.

The Best Forex Trading Platforms

Forex trading platforms are software through which online brokers and investors can perform daily forex trading from anywhere around the world.

New age forex trading platforms offer you advanced, unique features that can actually change the way one used to perceive online trading. The best forex trading platform presents the blend of functional usage combined with ease of use.

The best forex trading platform will be designed to help the investor in executing the trading most effectively by employing strategies to maximize the return. Most of the forex trading platforms are powered with unique analysis and strategy-testing features to test all buy and sell rules.

With a click of your mouse you can access strategy performance reports with simulated results like profit versus loss, annual rate of return, etc. Based on them you can modify your trading strategies without incurring losses.

The best forex trading platform always comes with fully automated real-time online streaming data from the market to take the advantage of the liquidity of the market. The best forex trading platform connects your monitor to the markets.

This also ensures that you get the execution prices on every order type available without any slippage. The best forex trading platform should provide the robust backbone to handle transaction of heavy data and information traffic.

The best forex trading platform must offer more than one type of account like standard, institutional or mini. The platform should come with different operating packages like Flash, Java, or WAP. These software provide firewall protection to maintain the security and integrity of your trading.

You can perform your trading from home, office, laptop on the go or even from an internet café with equal ease. The best forex trading platform will facilitate you to use the system without downloading any program, which presents perfect mobility to the traders or investors.

The best forex trading platform should offer:
  • Tight spread on all major currency pairs with cutting-edge trading technology
  • Quick execution with unlimited transaction amount
  • No slippages and no requites
  • Constant margin requirements in all volatile market condition
  • Multiple real-time charts and other technical analysis based predictions with maximum visual representation
  • Flexibility of placing complex orders including contingency orders
  • Real time margin and position monitoring.
  • Technical analysis for all demo and live accounts
  • Authentic market news and economic calendar
  • Performance, Security, Simplicity and Transparency
  • Trading history and print out any reports
With advanced mobile forex trading platforms, you can operate when you are away from your computer. Therefore the best forex-trading platform with facilities of mobile trading enables you access and trade your forex account from anywhere with your mobile phone.

These platforms come with easy to use interface, where you can easily move from one screen to the next. You can place market and contingent orders with simple steps and can have full reports including execution and open order.

Forex Trading Strategy - Essential Indicators Six of the Best

If you are devising a Forex trading strategy and using technical analysis you will need some indicators to help you execute your forex trading signals and below, we have outlined six essential indicators that any trader should consider using on their forex charts.

1. Moving Averages

A great back indicator to trend lines for seeing the direction of the trend.

Moving averages should not be used on their own to enter trades but combined with other indictors.

Moving averages in longer term time frames work best and I find the 200 day MA important and also use the 40 day and 18 day MA useful. Never use short term averages as trends need sufficient periods of data to be effective.

2. Bollinger Bands

If you want warnings of trends developing, or a tool to help you sell high volatility to execute trading singnals i.e. open new positions or to lock in profits, then Bollinger bands are ideal.

Like moving averages, this indicator is simply there to show you the opportunity and you should time your entry with other tools.

3. Net Trader Positions

This is simply one of the best tools there is for spotting the big contrary trades and is realized bi-weekly by the CFTC. Although it applies to futures markets, the data can be used for spot currency markets as well.

This tool will help you spit every major trend change in advance.

The reason for this is, it breaks the open interest in speculative and commercial positions.

We don’t have room to explain the full logic here - but in essence speculators are always heavily net long at important market turning points while the commercials ( smart money ) are short.

By looking for divergences in speculative and commercial positions and looking for extremes, you can spot the big turning points coming.

So far we have looked at tools that can alert you to trading opportunities in your forex trading strategy – now, its time to look at some indicators to time entry on your forex charts and we have picked out 3 of the best.

4. Stochastic

George Lane, who developed the indicator, concluded that in an uptrend, prices tend to close near their high, and in a downtrend market, prices tend to close near their low.

This may sound simple, but the stochastic is simply one of the best momentum indicators out there for entering trades and taking profits.

5. Relative strength Index (RSI)

This indictor complements the above indicator perfectly and is another superb indicator to have in your forex trading strategy.

The RSI, as its name implies measures the relative strength of price currently compared to the past and gives you an idea of how strongly a market is trending.

This is one of the most popular momentum indicators in the world and was developed by trading legend, Wells Wilder as is the next indicator

6. Average Directional Movement (ADX)

The ADX is a momentum indicator, which aims to measure the strength of the trend - and attempts to determine if the market is in a trend or not.

The ADX line is a great momentum indicator and will help you trade the strongest trends - and give you advance warning of changes in momentum for profit taking or contrary trades.

So there you have six great technical indicators to incorporate in your forex trading strategy. There are of course others worthy of consideration, but these 6 are the ones I have used for the last 25 years and found them highly effective in my own forex trading systems and think you will to.

Take a look at them and see for yourself – Good trading

Profitable Forex Trading Strategies

By far regarded as the largest and the busiest market, the Forex market has tremendous profit potential. The Forex currency market is a lot different from the stock market and you need to have a very good understanding about the way this market functions. Its not surprising that there's a lot being said and written about Forex currency trading. In fact, those who are keen on mastering Forex trading skills can actually take up a Forex trading course and get formal Forex education. Before you set out to trade in the Forex market or the Foreign Currency Exchange Market, you must make sure that you have done plenty of research, studied historical trends, analyzed existing trends, and worked out profitable Forex trading strategies that can boost your Forex trade.

There is no standard strategy that can be safely applied when it comes to Forex currency trading. Basically, what may work for one may not necessarily fit your trading needs and you must therefore devise your own strategies that can guarantee success in the long run. You need to first analyze the market using a technical analysis approach or the fundamental analysis approach to plan your moves. While technical analysis refers to forecasting future movement based on past performance, fundamental analysis refers to studying current accounts and impact of imports and exports on currency flow.

Understanding how volatile this market is, every experienced trader understands that it is not practically possible to generate profits from every trade. However, as you study this market closely, you will be able to work out better strategies that can minimize your risk levels.

Use surplus money for trading

This market is speculative and "timing a trade' is crucial. Even a slightest mistake can cost you a lot of money. So, make sure that you use only surplus money in order to save yourself from financial wreck. One of the biggest mistakes many traders do is staking all their money in a single trade. If you are not sure, go for margin trading to enjoy more leverage.

Do some market research

Consult your financial advisor or a Forex broker who can tell you the exact status of the Forex market. You need to understand whether current trend is upwards or downwards, is it strong or weak, and how long has this trend been going on or is a new trend in the making. A trade without prior market research can lead to financial disasters.

Decide the time frame for trading

As a smart Forex trader, you must have a time frame in mind beyond which you wont like to trade and also decide an approximate exit price. This gives you a proper perspective and helps you to plan your Forex trade more efficiently. You need to therefore decide whether you would like to go for long term trading or intra-day trading. This will help you to determine which approach you must adopt for research and analysis. For instance, for someone trading several times a day, a daily graph analysis will be useless and the trader will require thirty minute or hour graphs to plan his exit. Another important factor that you need to take into account is the time periods when different financial companies enter and exit the foreign exchange market in order to study the market trends.

Choosing the right time to trade Timing is everything when it comes to Forex trading and once you have understood the market trends you need to immediately plan an entry. Rely on technical analysis to time your move and predict market movements.

If you are not sure about which Forex trading strategy to use, find a good Forex broker who can handle your financial portfolio for you.

Forex Day Trading – How To Earn BIG Profits Everyday!

There are many forex day traders whose aim is to make regular profits everyday and over time these small profits mount up. There are plenty of forex trading systems on the net to choose from - but how do you choose the best for this form of trading?

The fact is you can’t choose the best one because NONE of them work.

Fact:

It is impossible to earn money every day or regularly when trading and it’s impossible with day trading - because day trading simply doesn’t work at all.

The Reality

Day trading systems are sold on hyped advertising copy and use hypothetical track records (that means done in hindsight knowing the closing prices!) so their of no use in proving profitability going forward.

Keep in mind you never find a day trading system with a real time track record.

So why doesn’t day trading work?

Quite simply because the data period is to short and you cant get the odds on your side.

Think about it:

There are millions of traders trading trillions of dollars each day and to say that you can judge what they will do in a few hours is laughable, yet many naive and greedy traders take the bait, buy a system and lose.

FACT

All short term volatility is random and prices can and do go anywhere in a day, support and resistance levels are therefore meaningless.

You can never get the odds on your side and over time you will lose – PERIOD.

Are there any day traders with real time track records?

Many claim they have but will never show it to you maybe there is one somewhere but I have never found one in 25 years of trading.

The people who sell these systems know there a good story and simply use hyped advertising and a meaningless hypothetical simulation to sell the system. Of course these people don’t have the confidence to trade themselves for real, as they know the systems don’t work.

The deal is:

You buy the course or system, then lose and they pocket a fee or guaranteed income.

You lose they win, it’s as simple as that.

Sorry - No FREE Lunch

There are a huge number of forex trading systems out there (most in forex day trading) that promise that if you follow them you will get rich. Of course if it were as simple as that everyone would be traders and no one would work!

Forex trading is hard – 95% of traders lose.

To win you need to learn and trade in away that you can get the odds in your favour and that means no day trading - look longer term and do your homework.

There is no “free lunch” when it comes to making money, so when you see the next “sure fire” forex day trading system don’t be fooled by the copy or ask for the real time track record and if you do get one – let me know.

Forex Trading News – How To Use it Correctly For Profit

Today, forex trading news is more plentiful than ever. There are numerous sources to choose from and there all delivered at the click of a mouse, so you can get breaking news whenever you wish.

Here we will look at how to use Forex trading news and mistakes to avoid.

First let’s start with a rather startling fact:

100 years ago 90% of traders lost and today the ratio still remains the same.

This is despite better more frequent Forex news, better computers, more powerful software and more information than ever on the markets.

The fact is knowing the news won’t help you win – in fact, it generally helps traders lose! There are 3 main reasons for this:

News is discounted in a split second.

In today’s world of instant communications news is discounted immediately, so by the time you have seen it and had a chance to act upon it, the moment has gone and the market is looking toward the future.

News is Stories

Those analysts are so convincing with their arguments! Their normally great at explaining what has happened - but you can’t trade off what they say, as they have no idea what will happen - there simply stories and opinions.

Will Rodgers once said.

“I only believe what I Read in the papers”

Now he was joking, but its surprising how many traders take what they hear on the news as a recommendation to trade.

News Gets Your Emotions Involved

Humans don’t like to stand alone and the news reflects what the majority want to hear but that is completely different from what you have to do, to trade to win.

The bulk of traders lose and the bulk listen to the news, so if you avoid it, you can step aside and not let your emotions get involved.

If you do this, you can trade in a disciplined fashion and join the elite minority of winners.

If you use forex charts and simply follow price action, you are far more likely to be successful than you would be by following news stories.

WHERE THE NEWS CAN HELP YOU!

There is one great way to use the news:

If you see a very bullish or bearish market and the news supports the prevailing view but the market does not react the way it should – then its time to look for a contrary trade and time your entry points via your forex charts.

It’s a fact that:

Bullish markets collapse when the fundamentals are most bullish and bearish markets rally when the news is at its most bearish.

If you can look for these turning points on your charts and find the news suddenly stops pushing the market the way it should, a contrary trade is developing and a big profitable trade is shaping up.

Finally

The way to use forex news outlined above, is a very powerful profit tool but completely different to the way most forex traders use it!

Insider’s Guide to Forex Trading

This is the first in a series of insights into trading the forex markets successfully. We have ten keys to trading success that all new forex traders and certainly many experienced forex traders need to learn and need to know. We’ll start with the top three with the rest detailed in the rest of this series.

11. Commission Free Trading

This was the initial sales pitch most brokers used and many still do. “You’ll trade for free – no commissions!” Well, any of us who trade actively know commissions add up to some ungodly amounts – many times you look at your annual statements if you trade actively and it’s not uncommon that your broker makes more, maybe much more, than you do in your trading profits. Forex trading is not commission free. Sure, there is usually not an “add-on” commission. However, they force you to pay a spread on every trade. You have to always buy at the ask and always sell at the bid. This is not the case in stocks, or futures or really any other market.

This forced spread on every trade is a commission. That’s what it is. Despite what the broker might claim. And that forced spread is not cheap. 3 pips is $30 on a just one full sized pair. Try $50 on a 5 pip spread you still see as commonplace.

Now, compare that to your average futures or stock trade. Which is more? Forex usually by far. Now, let’s not leave it at that. Remember, you get some amazing leverage opportunities with Forex so the actual commission compared to the dollar volume you are able to trade is actually reasonable in some cases – assuming you trade at the right places and follow the right strategies. We’ll cover that below.

12. 100:1 Leverage…No, Wait! How about 200:1….or 400:1?

You’re going to be rich! With that kind of leverage you make just a few pips per days and you’ll spend as much time with your banker as you do with your significant other, right? You look at the end of month totals from your strategy, run it through your state of the art Leverage Calculator and instantly you are making 100%, 300% or 500% per month. Do that a few months, a bit of compounding and you’ll be buying that private island after all. This is another one of those broker come-ons. It just doesn’t work this way. Yes, you can get this leverage. The brokers are going to allow it so I’m not saying it isn’t as advertised. However, you are guaranteed to wipe out using it. Guaranteed. There simply is no way you can trade at these leverage levels and make it. Not unless you are some trading genius who can take a trade and never lose. If you are – please contact me at once!

For the rest of us, you are going to lose. You are going to lose more than once. You are going to have some losing streaks. It’s the nature of trading. It’s not a big deal, especially if you can win more than you lose, and if your average win is greater than your average loss. You do that and who cares about some losses. Don’t get hung up on it.

Small Forex Managed Accounts

Small forex managed accounts are ideal for the investors who have some preoccupations and can not observe or trade in the market on a consistent basis.

Traders who are engaged in jobs but still looking for ways to enter into the forex market without investing hours in front of the computer, can now open a small forex managed accounts for some passive income. In a market where over two trillion dollars are traded every day, a small managed forex account make big profits for you.

Forex small managed accounts are managed by a trader, paid for by an investor, and result in high return. There are two types of small managed forex accounts—either automated or managed by human traders or brokers.

Automated small forex managed accounts are completely automatic programs which are designed by experienced traders and offer unmatched simplicity to the investors. It takes into consideration all indicators and statistics open to it and once it receives a signal, it trades accordingly. But these systems lack the human intelligence and instinct, which undoubtedly play an important role in decision-making.

The second type of forex small managed accounts employees human traders with market experience of many years. The biggest advantages of such accounts are they can be personalized depending on your need.

The typical investment in a small managed forex account can be from $5,000 to $10,000, which leaves the very small investors out of the loop. A managed account which is either traded by another person or an automated system can earn up to 20% per month or more depending on the performance of the system.

Small managed forex accounts are the best option before you leap into the market if you are receiving professional training and preparing yourself on how to trade in the market. You can fine-tune your own trading system and strategies and learn how the market may respond to specific news and patterns.

Searching for a good managed small forex account is a troublesome task. Some trading systems may take too many trades causing you to margin out too soon and some may generate poor signals. Make sure that the trading system can substantiate its data with proven results and perform back tests on their system in real-time. The broker you chose must be established, registered, and has credibility within the market.

Many brokers offer their services for small managed forex accounts for private or individual investors. They may offer some preferences for high investments for portfolio diversification and effective risk management. The brokerage firms have pool of experienced financial advisors who can provide ready-made, excellent and even personalized solutions in trading and programs for you. Your small investment may be clubbed together with other investments to earn the kind of profit you are looking for with substantial risk management procedures.

Your small managed forex account starts operating the moment you authorize your broker to take investment decisions on your behalf and can start to manage your funds. The advantages of using a small managed forex account to trade are --

1. You need not to trade yourself and can engage in other activities.

2. You no longer deal with trading emotions.

3. Lesser chances of making mistakes, especially so with automated forex.

4. You will have time to develop strategies and can take advantages of trading multiple systems and multiple markets.

5. You invest small amounts but receive high returns with proper risk management facilities.

Forex Scalping Systems– Choosing the Best For a Regular Income

Forex scalping is a method of trading that is very popular online and intends to take small regular profits each day to mount up big profits over time. There are many vendors selling forex scalping systems but how do you choose the best – lets find out.

While there are many vendors who claim to make a living forex scalping none of them do as it’s a method destined to failure which we will look at in this article.

Fact:

Forex scalping involves calculating where prices may go in a matter of hours and as all short term volatility within a day is random this is doomed to failure.

If you think about the above its really common sense to anyone but forex scalpers:

Trillions of dollars are traded daily, by millions of participants and to say that you can work out where prices will go in such a short time frame is simply laughable.

Forex day trading and forex scalping simply doesn’t work – PERIOD

The Myth of Forex Scalping Track Records

So why do you see so many track record that make money sold by vendors?

The answer is these track records are not "real" - to understand this, you need to understand and digest the disclaimer they use.

Below is the standard CFTC disclaimer you will see and after you have read it you will see why the track records presented are so meaningless. Here it is:

"Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not been executed, the results may have under-or-over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profit or losses similar to those show".

If you have read the above disclaimer you will realize that any forex scalping system that uses this disclaimer needs to be treated with extreme caution.

Hypothetical and simulated means exactly that – the track record has been compiled KNOWING The closing prices! So how hard is it to make one profitable?

Its not difficult and anyone who can read and write can do it – and it is amazing people take them seriously.

The forex scalping systems you see have marvelous results on paper ( and no wonder ) and then fail in real time trading – no surprises really.

The only way to judge a system is its performance going forward, NOT knowing the closing prices – but the people who sell these systems, know they don’t work and want to make money selling systems not trading them.

Of course this is fairly obvious when you think about it.

If a vendor could produce the track record in real time they do in their simulations, they wouldn’t bother you for a few hundred bucks – they would be to busy making money!

Do not fall for the myth that forex scalping systems will make you money – they wont and never will succeed, because the logic they are based on is totally wrong.

If you are ever lucky enough to find a real time one that does let me know I have been looking for one for over 20 years!

Forex Signal Service Providers

Forex signal service provides price action that set off market entry, exit, or any other intra-trade adjustment on the basis of technical indicators. Forex signal service providers are either brokers or professional traders or some market analysts.

It is always advisable to subscribe to one of such forex signal services, as you need not to spend time in monitoring the market round the clock. Forex trading signal providers help you in minimizing risks or losses in trading. But it is important that you understand the logic behind the signals. Then only you will be able to take the complete advantage of such signaling services.

There are forex signal service providers who offer their assistance in return of a small subscription. Many automated forex trading platform however offer free signal services to their customers. The purpose of the forex trading signals is to make informed decision for the trading. A mix and match of various signals provides a full proof trading strategy to gauge the right direction of the market.

The Forex signals service providers analyze several factors responsible for the movement of the market. The signals indicate the buying and selling time of the different currencies which are traded in the forex market. The signals are calculated and generated by using different indicators such as trends, moving average, Elliott waves, Bollinger bands, Fibonacci series, etc.

Forex signal service providers send you alerts when the conditions are right for the trade. They use cutting-edge technology based software, which constantly monitor all major currency pairs for generating technical indicators.

These forex signal service providers use historical data to match current chart patterns with old ones. Therefore you can judge the quality of service of the forex signal service providers by judging their past performances. The forex signal service providers must have proven track records of recommendations, which turned out to be true.

Some forex signal service providers specifically generate services for advanced or experienced traders and others are for new or intermediate investors and traders. To take the full advantage of the forex signal service, you should have a basic knowledge of the forex market.

Time frame for which the forex trading signals are generated is equally important. Few trading signals can be valid only for a few minutes or an hour; others may have recommendations that are valid for a day or more. If the forex trading signal providers generate signals for shorter time frame, you need to monitor the market frequently.

Some forex signal service providers offer add-on services like email or mobile alerts. The service provider should have end-to-end technical support for the customers. Some other factors, which you need to check before choosing a forex signal service provider are

Spread: Some forex signals providers do not include spread in their recommendations, which affects the performance of the trading system negatively. So find out the average number of positions performed per month on all currencies to guess the real profit.

Back testing results: Some forex signals providers may display only back testing result of their system performance that may show positive result. But this does ensure that the system will run in real time with same efficiency.

Day Forex Signal Strategy Trading

Day forex signal strategy trading is different from swing trading strategy in frequency of trade signals, depth of stop-loss, and profit-taking levels. Forex day trading is meant for active traders.

But traders who hold positions overnight or even for several days may consider the swing trade signals. There are many traders who prefer a hybrid trading strategy to take advantage of short-term and long-term trading opportunities simultaneously.

For forex day signal strategy trading, stop-loss levels range between 15-25 pips with profit-taking levels at 25-45 pips. Signals are generated on the basis of knowledge of experienced traders and institutional research.

Day forex signal strategy trading is an ideal solution for those who do not have the time or experience to analyze the market effectively or for experienced traders in making informed trading decisions. Day forex signal strategy trading systems also offers excellent risk management measures.

Using a day forex signal strategy trading platform, you can create your own trading signals during any of trading period. All you will have to do is to fill some data in a grid and the software will automatically calculate the entry signals.

These software use advanced non-linear computing algorithm to generate signals for forex day trading. Signals are generally updated periodically for all the major currency pairs like EUR/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF, GBP/USD, and USD/CAD in real-time and allows you to stay ahead of the market.

Day forex signal strategy trading needs real-time market analysis indicators. The signals are therefore supported with integrated trend, volatility and sentiment gauges. With proper indicators, you can identify when a pair may be toward the top or bottom of a range.

For example, if a pair is highly overbought or oversold and the trend is weak, there may be an opportunity for an aggressive range or reversal play. If a pair displays a strong bullish trend, a day forex signal strategy trading can identify dips for an optimal entry point.

Volatility is another strong statistical measure of the tendency of a market or pair to rise or fall sharply within a short period. A day forex signal can use it in conjunction with other variables to determine strength of price action and to effectively manage market risk. In other words the trader can instantly assess how fast or uncertain the market is moving.

Day forex signal strategy trading systems generate alerts via email, SMS, AIM, ICQ, etc. You can receive notifications for new signals, updates on the status of existing signals. On an average you can receive 4-6 signals per day which comes with easy-to-use graphical interfaces.

Day forex signal strategy trading is to help you in buying or selling decisions. But you must keep in mind that no trading signals can be 100% accurate and all trading strategies contain losses. Therefore it is important that your gains are greater than your losses. Be sure to set the stop-loss to the entry price. Ultimately, experience is the determining factor for your success.

Forex Day Trading – The Illusion That Will See You Lose

Forex day trading is popular and there are numerous Forex day trading systems sold on the net - but you need to be aware of one illusion, if you buy a system or back test it yourself. This relates to "curve fitting" - If you don’t know what curve fitting is read on.

If you are going to trade any forex trading system you will normally test it on back data first and this is where you have to be very careful. Many "traders curve" fit – either deliberately or without thinking of the consequences.

The Illusion of Curve Fitting

"Curve fitting" involves tweaking the system to fit the data. A common occurrence is for forex traders to find their system doesn’t work first time around, so they create rules and parameters to make it work.

This was once likened by a trader I knew, to shooting at a barn door with a shotgun and then drawing a bull-eye around every shot AFTERWARDS to make each shot perfect.

Of course, no data sample EXACTLY replicates itself going forward and in real time trading the system collapses. To spot a "curve fitted" forex day trading is easy, look for lots of rules and parameters and unique ones used in certain instances.

The Worst Form of Curve Fitting

Many vendors who sell systems don’t even bother trying to curve fit.

They simply make up a track record and put simulated or hypothetical on the disclaimer!

This is done by lots of vendors, who are simply assuming the buyer will believe the simulated track record WITHOUT questioning it and by putting the disclaimer they can say what they want and as they are back testing and know the closing prices its easy to make a profit.

Clues to these forex day trading systems are marketing copy which says the following or similar – "picking tops in advance", "earn a regular income", "make x pips a day" and track records with extraordinary performance with no drawdown – all for a few hundred bucks!

These forex day trading track records should not be trusted and you should ask yourself:

If these systems are so good why are they being sold as the vendor could make so much money why bother me for a few hundred bucks?

Well now you know the answer.

The fact is you should only buy a track record in day trading if its real time and shown over two years and you won’t find one – Why?

Because forex day trading doesn’t work.

Why?

Because all short term volatility is random and you cannot get the odds on your side.

There are millions of forex traders trading trillions of dollars in equity daily and to say you can tell which way a market will go in a few hours is laughable.

If you don’t believe me look at the track records ( you will never find a real one) there all done in simulation and hindsight and anyone can make a profit doing that – problem is we have to trade in the real world and that means not knowing the closing prices!

The Appeal and the Reality

Day trading systems appeal to greedy novice or naive investors as it looks an easy way to make money but of course trading is not so simple – keep in mind 95% of traders lose and in forex day trading you can increase this number to 100%.

The logic is wrong and these systems will lose - the fact you cannot ever find a forex day trading system with a real time track record over the longer term proves the point.

If you want to trust a simulated track record and base your forex trading strategy on it, go ahead - but chances are in one form or another it’s been "curve fitted" and that makes it odds on to lose.

Using Forex Prediction Software

Forex prediction software let you trade knowing the market direction in advance. These software are easy-to-trade and specially designed to trade in forex market which issues prediction on the future direction of the market at any point of time and just with a click of the mouse.

A sophisticated forex prediction software may be based on neural network or genetic algorithms to produce intra-day and daily charts or snapshots of the future direction of the market. These software computing techniques analyze patterns from historical data and optimize system parameters to create highly accurate, full proof trading predictions.

A forex prediction software can generate intra-day chart that looks 6 1/2 hours into the future and is updated periodically. The most important function of such forex prediction software is to identify important intra-day pivot points.

In a forex prediction software, the daily chart looks even 20 days into the future and is updated everyday. With a forex prediction software, you can determine optimum entry points for short term trades or swing trades.

In a forex prediction software you can build your model and then backtest your trading system prior to entering the real market. You have to simply enter the online results and the forex predictor software will tell you the market trends. Most of the forex trading software uses one-hour moves to determine long and short positions. By using the last hour of price action it predicts the high, low, or close.

The forex prediction software may forecast the exact price level to enter the position and then exit at a predetermined price level. The upper and lower price lines in the forex prediction software are drawn and updated automatically through free live feed. Many forex prediction software may be customized to have an audio and visual alarm that will alert you whenever a currency pair price is about to hit major turning points.

The forex prediction software generates hourly turning points of any currency along with resistance and support levels. This will allow you to trade at these key turning points. If the forex trading software combines pivot price prediction with a news trading system, it gives you the greatest control over your trading. A forex prediction software helps you in trading with enough pip movement to create sizable profits while minimizing risk.

As the forex market is highly speculative, it is suitable for traders who understand the market and willing to assume the economic, legal and any other risks involved. A forex prediction software can only predict the future and can never guarantee a win or a specific price.

There are many factors and parameters that dynamically influence the market. Forex trading requires in-depth knowledge of the markets, trading techniques, and strategies. So you cannot dream of a profit depending only on a forex prediction software. But with knowledge, you can maximize your profits by using the predictions made by any forex prediction software.